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December 12, 2008

Ben Alarie - Tax-Free Savings Accounts

I've posted a new paper on SSRN that analyzes the new "tax-free savings accounts" that are soon to be available in Canada (they will be coming to a financial institution near you in January).  You may recall having seen one (or more) of the now ubiquitous advertisements for the accounts.  Here's the abstract of the paper:

Tax-free savings accounts ("TFSAs") will be available in Canada in January 2009. A TFSA is a "tax prepaid" or "yield-exempt" investment account that does not provide any deduction for contributions and allows for tax-free compounding of investment returns in addition to tax-free withdrawals at any time. This article examines the theory surrounding TFSAs, briefly outlines the empirical evidence from the UK and the US with similar accounts, and identifies the consequences that are likely to emerge with the advent of TFSAs in the existing Canadian tax system. TFSAs can be expected to generate some modest new savings by Canadians with low and middle incomes and to give rise to asset shifting from taxable investments to TFSAs by those who have savings that are currently held outside of tax-advantaged accounts. The analysis suggests that the TFSA regime should probably be regarded ambivalently from the perspectives of efficiency and equity on account of having a small effect on savings and investment behaviour that will come at the cost of significant forgone tax revenue.


The paper is entitled, Assessing Tax-Free Savings Accounts: Promises and Pressures. As this work is still preliminary, I welcome any comments or suggestions you may have.

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Comments

On page 16, you are missing a word: "It is not hard to that here is a relevant.."

Great abstract very informative and unbiased. This review should definitely be in the hands of more people. With your permission we would like to offer this report to our readers, please advise the reprint/republishing/ considerations etc.. Thank you.

Footnote 41 has an extra word "An income tax treats taxes ants..."

Footnote 43 has a question mark that should be a period: "an additional tax on savings?".

Two more:

Page 15: "Thus, tax prepaid accounts allow active investors to earn additional returns tax-free and compounding way within their accounts."

Footnote 93: "if they have earned the jackpot through a provincially-sanction lottery."

Great article. Now if only I could figure out how to earn super-normal returns...

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